Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.8%
Almeria
25.6%
Draw
37.6%
Ath Bilbao
Expected Goals (xG)
1.41
Almeria
vs
1.43
Ath Bilbao
Markets
BTTS57.7%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.577.8%
Over 2.553.9%
Over 3.531.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.0%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
8.3%
0-1
8.1%
1-0
8.0%
0-0
6.1%
0-2
6.0%
2-2
5.9%
2-0
5.8%
1-3
4.0%
3-1
3.9%
0-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).