Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.8%
Pau FC
19.7%
Draw
27.5%
Amiens
Expected Goals (xG)
2.07
Pau FC
vs
1.45
Amiens
Markets
BTTS66.2%
Over 0.597.8%
Over 1.585.9%
Over 2.568.3%
Over 3.546.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.2%
1-1
8.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-2
6.7%
1-2
6.4%
3-1
6.4%
2-0
6.4%
0-1
5.0%
3-2
4.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.3%
2-3
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).