Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.4%
Burnley
35.3%
Draw
17.3%
Leeds
Expected Goals (xG)
1.07
Burnley
vs
0.53
Leeds
Markets
BTTS28.2%
Over 0.578.9%
Over 1.548.6%
Over 2.521.8%
Over 3.58.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
21.1%
1-0
20.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-0
11.5%
0-1
9.8%
2-1
6.2%
3-0
4.1%
1-2
3.1%
0-2
2.9%
3-1
2.2%
2-2
1.6%
4-0
1.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).