Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.4%
M'gladbach
21.9%
Draw
26.7%
Holstein Kiel
Expected Goals (xG)
2.15
M'gladbach
vs
1.53
Holstein Kiel
Markets
BTTS69.9%
Over 0.596.9%
Over 1.588.9%
Over 2.571.2%
Over 3.550.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-1
6.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-2
4.9%
1-0
4.8%
3-0
4.2%
2-3
3.5%
4-1
3.5%
1-3
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).