Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.4%
Eastleigh
26.4%
Draw
34.2%
Maidenhead
Expected Goals (xG)
1.53
Eastleigh
vs
1.42
Maidenhead
Markets
BTTS60.3%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.580.3%
Over 2.556.5%
Over 3.534.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.3%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
8.1%
1-0
7.1%
0-1
6.5%
0-0
6.2%
2-2
6.2%
2-0
6.2%
0-2
5.3%
3-1
4.5%
1-3
3.8%
3-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).