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17 Aug 2025 · 11:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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20.1%
Dender
23.3%
Draw
56.6%
Anderlecht

Expected Goals (xG)

1.02

Dender

vs
1.86

Anderlecht

Markets

BTTS54.6%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.578.7%
Over 2.555.1%
Over 3.532.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.0%
0-1
10.0%
1-2
9.9%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
6.1%
0-3
6.0%
0-0
6.0%
2-1
5.5%
1-0
5.3%
2-2
5.1%
2-3
3.2%
2-0
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).