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26 Jun 2020 · 20:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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38.5%
Juve Stabia
32.2%
Draw
29.3%
Livorno

Expected Goals (xG)

1.16

Juve Stabia

vs
0.98

Livorno

Markets

BTTS44.1%
Over 0.586.8%
Over 1.564.2%
Over 2.535.9%
Over 3.516.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.7%
0-0
13.2%
1-0
12.4%
0-1
10.2%
2-0
7.9%
2-1
7.7%
1-2
6.5%
0-2
5.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-0
3.1%
3-1
3.0%
1-3
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).