Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →77.7%
Arsenal
16.6%
Draw
5.6%
West Brom
Expected Goals (xG)
2.41
Arsenal
vs
0.55
West Brom
Markets
BTTS39.3%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.580.3%
Over 2.556.6%
Over 3.534.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
15.1%
3-0
12.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.3%
1-1
7.8%
4-0
7.3%
3-1
6.6%
0-0
6.2%
4-1
4.0%
5-0
3.5%
2-2
2.3%
5-1
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).