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AHT: 02CSV

21 Aug 2021 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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18.9%
Weymouth
22.7%
Draw
58.3%
Boreham Wood

Expected Goals (xG)

1.09

Weymouth

vs
2.04

Boreham Wood

Markets

BTTS58.6%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.582.7%
Over 2.560.5%
Over 3.538.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
0-2
9.1%
0-1
8.1%
1-3
6.7%
0-3
6.2%
2-2
5.4%
2-1
5.3%
0-0
5.2%
1-0
4.0%
2-3
3.7%
1-4
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).