Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.8%
Moreirense
21.1%
Draw
19.1%
Vizela
Expected Goals (xG)
1.91
Moreirense
vs
0.96
Vizela
Markets
BTTS52.2%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.577.6%
Over 2.554.7%
Over 3.532.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.3%
2-0
10.3%
1-1
10.0%
2-1
9.9%
3-0
6.5%
3-1
6.3%
0-1
5.9%
0-0
5.2%
1-2
5.0%
2-2
4.8%
4-0
3.1%
3-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).