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18 Mar 2023 · 14:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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16.6%
Bochum
21.6%
Draw
61.8%
RB Leipzig

Expected Goals (xG)

1.02

Bochum

vs
2.12

RB Leipzig

Markets

BTTS57.0%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.582.8%
Over 2.560.7%
Over 3.538.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.1%
1-2
9.9%
0-2
9.7%
0-1
8.5%
1-3
7.0%
0-3
6.9%
2-2
5.1%
0-0
5.0%
2-1
4.8%
1-0
3.7%
1-4
3.7%
0-4
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).