Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.6%
Swansea
32.9%
Draw
31.6%
Sunderland
Expected Goals (xG)
1.03
Swansea
vs
0.96
Sunderland
Markets
BTTS40.7%
Over 0.585.4%
Over 1.560.2%
Over 2.532.1%
Over 3.514.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
14.6%
1-1
14.5%
1-0
13.1%
0-1
12.1%
2-0
7.3%
2-1
7.0%
1-2
6.5%
0-2
6.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-0
2.5%
3-1
2.4%
1-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).