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AHT: 05CSV

30 Dec 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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8.3%
Edinburgh City
15.5%
Draw
76.2%
Hamilton

Expected Goals (xG)

0.78

Edinburgh City

vs
2.62

Hamilton

Markets

BTTS50.7%
Over 0.596.2%
Over 1.585.7%
Over 2.566.0%
Over 3.544.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
11.5%
0-3
10.0%
1-2
8.9%
0-1
8.3%
1-3
7.8%
1-1
7.3%
0-4
6.5%
1-4
5.1%
0-0
3.8%
2-2
3.5%
0-5
3.4%
2-3
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).