Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.1%
St Pauli
27.8%
Draw
33.1%
Heidenheim
Expected Goals (xG)
1.44
St Pauli
vs
1.31
Heidenheim
Markets
BTTS57.0%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.577.3%
Over 2.552.0%
Over 3.529.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.2%
2-1
8.7%
1-0
8.0%
1-2
7.9%
0-0
7.5%
0-1
7.2%
2-0
6.6%
2-2
5.7%
0-2
5.5%
3-1
4.2%
1-3
3.5%
3-0
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).