Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.1%
Wigan
28.2%
Draw
26.7%
Northampton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17
Wigan
vs
0.81
Northampton
Markets
BTTS37.3%
Over 0.587.3%
Over 1.557.8%
Over 2.531.9%
Over 3.514.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.2%
0-0
12.7%
0-1
12.3%
1-1
12.0%
2-0
9.4%
2-1
7.7%
1-2
5.3%
0-2
4.6%
3-0
3.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-1
3.0%
1-3
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).