Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.8%
Paderborn
23.5%
Draw
20.7%
Dresden
Expected Goals (xG)
1.99
Paderborn
vs
1.15
Dresden
Markets
BTTS60.1%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.583.1%
Over 2.560.8%
Over 3.538.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
8.5%
1-0
7.6%
3-1
6.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-0
5.7%
0-0
5.3%
0-1
4.0%
3-2
3.8%
4-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).