Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.5%
Nieciecza
23.0%
Draw
55.5%
Lech Poznań
Expected Goals (xG)
1.21
Nieciecza
vs
2.03
Lech Poznań
Markets
BTTS61.9%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.584.3%
Over 2.563.0%
Over 3.540.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.4%
1-2
9.8%
0-2
8.0%
0-1
7.1%
1-3
6.6%
2-2
5.9%
2-1
5.8%
0-3
5.5%
0-0
4.7%
2-3
4.0%
1-0
3.9%
1-4
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).