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DHT: 12CSV

22 Feb 2020 · 17:20

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Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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34.3%
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31.0%
Draw
34.8%
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Expected Goals (xG)

1.12

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vs
1.13

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Markets

BTTS46.8%
Over 0.588.4%
Over 1.566.9%
Over 2.539.1%
Over 3.519.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.5%
0-0
11.6%
0-1
10.8%
1-0
10.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-1
7.5%
0-2
6.7%
2-0
6.6%
2-2
4.2%
1-3
2.8%
3-1
2.8%
0-3
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).