Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.2%
Sudtirol
34.1%
Draw
17.7%
Salernitana
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14
Sudtirol
vs
0.59
Salernitana
Markets
BTTS31.4%
Over 0.581.1%
Over 1.552.8%
Over 2.525.1%
Over 3.59.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
19.1%
0-0
18.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-0
11.6%
0-1
9.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-0
4.4%
1-2
3.5%
0-2
3.0%
3-1
2.6%
2-2
2.0%
4-0
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).