Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.1%
Tranmere
21.5%
Draw
51.4%
Swindon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33
Tranmere
vs
1.91
Swindon
Markets
BTTS62.4%
Over 0.596.5%
Over 1.583.1%
Over 2.562.9%
Over 3.540.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.5%
1-2
9.5%
0-1
7.8%
0-2
7.1%
2-1
6.6%
2-2
6.3%
1-3
6.1%
1-0
5.6%
0-3
4.5%
2-3
4.0%
0-0
3.5%
2-0
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).