Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →8.6%
Montpellier
14.4%
Draw
77.0%
Monaco
Expected Goals (xG)
0.68
Montpellier
vs
2.46
Monaco
Markets
BTTS44.5%
Over 0.596.0%
Over 1.581.6%
Over 2.560.6%
Over 3.538.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
13.2%
0-1
11.1%
0-3
10.8%
1-2
8.9%
1-3
7.3%
1-1
6.8%
0-4
6.6%
1-4
4.5%
0-0
4.0%
1-0
3.4%
0-5
3.3%
2-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).