Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.4%
Brentford
24.0%
Draw
19.6%
West Ham
Expected Goals (xG)
2.02
Brentford
vs
1.14
West Ham
Markets
BTTS60.3%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.583.7%
Over 2.561.2%
Over 3.538.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
8.7%
1-0
7.2%
3-1
6.7%
3-0
5.8%
2-2
5.6%
0-0
5.6%
1-2
5.6%
3-2
3.8%
0-1
3.5%
4-1
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).