Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.2%
Casa Pia
22.5%
Draw
19.3%
Boavista
Expected Goals (xG)
1.74
Casa Pia
vs
0.88
Boavista
Markets
BTTS47.8%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.573.2%
Over 2.548.7%
Over 3.526.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.1%
2-0
11.0%
1-1
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
0-1
6.9%
0-0
6.8%
3-0
6.4%
3-1
5.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-2
4.3%
0-2
2.8%
4-0
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).