Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.1%
Hatayspor
35.9%
Draw
27.0%
Bodrumspor
Expected Goals (xG)
1.18
Hatayspor
vs
0.99
Bodrumspor
Markets
BTTS46.9%
Over 0.585.2%
Over 1.567.2%
Over 2.536.9%
Over 3.517.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
16.7%
0-0
14.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-0
8.0%
2-1
7.9%
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.6%
0-2
5.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-0
3.2%
3-1
3.1%
1-3
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).