Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.7%
FC Koln
24.7%
Draw
31.6%
AGF
Expected Goals (xG)
1.76
FC Koln
vs
1.47
AGF
Markets
BTTS64.6%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.584.1%
Over 2.562.6%
Over 3.540.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.1%
2-1
9.0%
1-2
7.5%
2-2
6.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.3%
0-1
5.0%
0-0
4.8%
0-2
4.3%
3-2
3.9%
1-3
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).