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21 Feb 2026 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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66.5%
Raków Częstochowa
21.8%
Draw
11.8%
Nieciecza

Expected Goals (xG)

2.00

Raków Częstochowa

vs
0.73

Nieciecza

Markets

BTTS45.5%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.576.5%
Over 2.551.3%
Over 3.529.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
13.1%
1-0
12.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-0
8.7%
0-0
7.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-0
4.4%
0-1
3.9%
2-2
3.5%
1-2
3.5%
4-1
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).