Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.9%
Northampton
27.7%
Draw
31.4%
Gillingham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13
Northampton
vs
0.95
Gillingham
Markets
BTTS40.5%
Over 0.588.7%
Over 1.560.5%
Over 2.534.6%
Over 3.515.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.2%
0-1
12.9%
1-1
12.3%
0-0
11.3%
2-0
8.0%
2-1
7.6%
1-2
6.4%
0-2
5.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-0
3.0%
3-1
2.9%
1-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).