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10 Apr 2021 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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80.8%
Ipswich
13.0%
Draw
6.2%
Milton Keynes Dons

Expected Goals (xG)

2.43

Ipswich

vs
0.49

Milton Keynes Dons

Markets

BTTS34.9%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.578.3%
Over 2.555.8%
Over 3.533.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
15.9%
1-0
13.7%
3-0
12.9%
2-1
7.8%
4-0
7.8%
3-1
6.3%
1-1
5.9%
0-0
4.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-0
3.8%
0-1
3.2%
2-2
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).