Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.5%
Hertha
26.6%
Draw
31.9%
Werder Bremen
Expected Goals (xG)
1.52
Hertha
vs
1.31
Werder Bremen
Markets
BTTS57.7%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.578.1%
Over 2.553.6%
Over 3.531.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.6%
2-1
8.9%
1-0
8.2%
1-2
7.7%
0-1
7.0%
2-0
6.8%
0-0
6.7%
2-2
5.8%
0-2
5.1%
3-1
4.5%
3-0
3.5%
1-3
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).