Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.9%
AVS
29.1%
Draw
38.0%
Tondela
Expected Goals (xG)
0.98
AVS
vs
1.08
Tondela
Markets
BTTS40.5%
Over 0.587.8%
Over 1.560.2%
Over 2.533.8%
Over 3.515.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.4%
1-0
13.1%
1-1
12.9%
0-0
12.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-1
6.6%
2-0
6.1%
2-2
3.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-3
2.6%
3-1
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).