Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →75.8%
Real Madrid
16.2%
Draw
8.0%
Crowborough Athletic
Expected Goals (xG)
2.38
Real Madrid
vs
0.65
Crowborough Athletic
Markets
BTTS43.4%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.580.7%
Over 2.558.2%
Over 3.535.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.7%
1-0
11.3%
3-0
10.9%
2-1
8.9%
1-1
7.7%
3-1
7.0%
4-0
6.5%
0-0
5.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-0
3.1%
0-1
2.9%
2-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).