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06 Aug 2022 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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61.1%
Morton
25.0%
Draw
13.9%
Cove Rangers

Expected Goals (xG)

1.89

Morton

vs
0.81

Cove Rangers

Markets

BTTS48.9%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.576.8%
Over 2.550.7%
Over 3.528.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
12.0%
1-1
11.9%
1-0
11.0%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
8.3%
3-0
7.5%
3-1
6.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-2
4.0%
0-1
3.8%
4-0
3.6%
4-1
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).