Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.1%
St Pauli
25.4%
Draw
55.5%
Hoffenheim
Expected Goals (xG)
0.91
St Pauli
vs
1.71
Hoffenheim
Markets
BTTS49.8%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.574.5%
Over 2.548.7%
Over 3.526.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.1%
0-1
11.7%
0-2
10.6%
1-2
9.7%
0-0
8.0%
0-3
6.1%
1-0
5.9%
1-3
5.5%
2-1
5.2%
2-2
4.4%
2-0
3.0%
0-4
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).