Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.1%
Newark Flowserve
28.5%
Draw
28.4%
AFC Wimbledon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.21
Newark Flowserve
vs
0.92
AFC Wimbledon
Markets
BTTS41.7%
Over 0.588.5%
Over 1.562.3%
Over 2.535.8%
Over 3.516.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.8%
1-1
12.8%
0-0
11.5%
0-1
11.4%
2-0
8.7%
2-1
8.0%
1-2
6.1%
0-2
5.0%
2-2
3.7%
3-0
3.5%
3-1
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).