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AHT: 21CSV

04 Nov 2022 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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52.9%
Kilmarnock
22.2%
Draw
24.9%
Livingston

Expected Goals (xG)

2.06

Kilmarnock

vs
1.38

Livingston

Markets

BTTS65.7%
Over 0.596.3%
Over 1.586.2%
Over 2.566.8%
Over 3.545.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
9.6%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
6.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-1
6.5%
1-2
6.3%
1-0
6.1%
3-0
4.7%
3-2
4.5%
0-1
3.9%
0-0
3.7%
4-1
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).