Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →63.6%
Lincoln
18.5%
Draw
17.9%
Plymouth
Expected Goals (xG)
2.13
Lincoln
vs
1.02
Plymouth
Markets
BTTS55.6%
Over 0.596.5%
Over 1.581.5%
Over 2.561.0%
Over 3.538.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-0
9.7%
1-1
8.5%
3-1
7.0%
3-0
6.9%
0-1
5.1%
2-2
5.1%
1-2
4.7%
4-1
3.8%
4-0
3.7%
3-2
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).