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HHT: 11CSV

16 Mar 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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35.9%
Wolfsburg
28.4%
Draw
35.7%
Fortuna Dusseldorf

Expected Goals (xG)

1.28

Wolfsburg

vs
1.28

Fortuna Dusseldorf

Markets

BTTS52.9%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.573.2%
Over 2.547.0%
Over 3.525.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.5%
1-0
9.1%
0-1
9.1%
0-0
8.6%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-0
6.4%
0-2
6.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-1
3.5%
1-3
3.4%
3-0
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).