Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.1%
Rochdale
25.7%
Draw
36.2%
Sunderland
Expected Goals (xG)
1.20
Rochdale
vs
1.16
Sunderland
Markets
BTTS47.0%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.567.3%
Over 2.542.2%
Over 3.521.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.4%
1-1
12.0%
0-1
12.0%
0-0
8.3%
2-1
7.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-0
6.8%
0-2
6.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-1
3.2%
1-3
3.0%
3-0
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).