Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.3%
Milton Keynes Dons
23.1%
Draw
32.7%
Swindon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.65
Milton Keynes Dons
vs
1.38
Swindon
Markets
BTTS60.0%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.580.1%
Over 2.558.3%
Over 3.535.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.6%
2-1
9.1%
1-0
8.4%
1-2
7.6%
0-1
7.1%
2-0
6.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-1
5.0%
0-2
4.6%
0-0
4.4%
3-0
3.6%
1-3
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).