Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.6%
Basel
24.0%
Draw
27.5%
Luzern
Expected Goals (xG)
2.10
Basel
vs
1.57
Luzern
Markets
BTTS71.0%
Over 0.596.0%
Over 1.589.6%
Over 2.571.0%
Over 3.550.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.9%
2-1
8.8%
2-2
6.9%
1-2
6.6%
3-1
6.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-2
4.9%
0-0
4.0%
3-0
3.9%
1-0
3.9%
2-3
3.6%
1-3
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).