Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →13.4%
Shrewsbury
22.8%
Draw
63.8%
Wrexham
Expected Goals (xG)
0.55
Shrewsbury
vs
1.59
Wrexham
Markets
BTTS32.7%
Over 0.589.0%
Over 1.562.1%
Over 2.536.0%
Over 3.516.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
19.6%
0-2
14.9%
0-0
11.0%
1-1
9.4%
1-2
8.2%
0-3
7.9%
1-0
7.3%
1-3
4.3%
0-4
3.1%
2-1
2.8%
2-2
2.2%
2-0
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).