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02 Apr 2021 · 18:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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68.6%
Venezia
20.3%
Draw
11.1%
Reggina

Expected Goals (xG)

2.17

Venezia

vs
0.77

Reggina

Markets

BTTS48.4%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.580.0%
Over 2.556.3%
Over 3.533.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
12.4%
1-0
10.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-0
9.0%
3-1
6.9%
0-0
6.2%
4-0
4.9%
4-1
3.8%
2-2
3.7%
1-2
3.4%
0-1
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).