Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.0%
Rio Ave
27.1%
Draw
51.9%
Gil Vicente
Expected Goals (xG)
0.92
Rio Ave
vs
1.58
Gil Vicente
Markets
BTTS48.5%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.572.1%
Over 2.545.5%
Over 3.524.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.9%
0-1
12.1%
0-2
10.3%
1-2
9.4%
0-0
9.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.5%
0-3
5.4%
1-3
5.0%
2-2
4.3%
2-0
3.5%
2-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).