Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.6%
Barnsley
27.8%
Draw
53.6%
Millwall
Expected Goals (xG)
0.80
Barnsley
vs
1.53
Millwall
Markets
BTTS44.1%
Over 0.589.2%
Over 1.568.6%
Over 2.541.1%
Over 3.520.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.9%
1-1
12.9%
0-2
11.4%
0-0
10.8%
1-2
9.1%
1-0
6.8%
0-3
5.8%
2-1
4.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-2
3.6%
2-0
3.1%
0-4
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).