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AHT: 01CSV

02 Feb 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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20.6%
Lamia
30.7%
Draw
48.7%
Panetolikos

Expected Goals (xG)

0.78

Lamia

vs
1.33

Panetolikos

Markets

BTTS40.8%
Over 0.586.7%
Over 1.563.3%
Over 2.535.2%
Over 3.516.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
15.0%
1-1
13.7%
0-0
13.3%
0-2
10.8%
1-2
8.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
4.9%
0-3
4.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-0
3.7%
2-2
3.2%
0-4
1.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).