Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.8%
Orenburg
33.6%
Draw
16.6%
Dynamo Makhachkala
Expected Goals (xG)
1.20
Orenburg
vs
0.58
Dynamo Makhachkala
Markets
BTTS32.3%
Over 0.581.8%
Over 1.554.7%
Over 2.526.5%
Over 3.510.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.8%
0-0
18.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-0
12.1%
0-1
8.4%
2-1
7.1%
3-0
4.8%
1-2
3.4%
0-2
2.9%
3-1
2.8%
2-2
2.1%
4-0
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).