Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →5.0%
Campion
8.9%
Draw
86.2%
Liverpool
Expected Goals (xG)
0.76
Campion
vs
3.40
Liverpool
Markets
BTTS51.5%
Over 0.598.6%
Over 1.591.8%
Over 2.578.5%
Over 3.559.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-3
10.2%
0-2
9.0%
0-4
8.7%
1-3
7.8%
1-2
6.9%
1-4
6.6%
0-5
5.9%
0-1
5.4%
1-5
4.5%
1-1
3.9%
2-3
3.0%
2-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).