Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.2%
AFC Wimbledon
24.8%
Draw
20.0%
Sutton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.53
AFC Wimbledon
vs
0.80
Sutton
Markets
BTTS42.7%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.567.2%
Over 2.541.3%
Over 3.520.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-0
11.4%
0-0
9.2%
2-1
9.1%
0-1
8.2%
3-0
5.8%
1-2
4.7%
3-1
4.7%
2-2
3.6%
0-2
3.1%
4-0
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).