Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.1%
Charlton
21.6%
Draw
23.3%
Reading
Expected Goals (xG)
1.76
Charlton
vs
1.04
Reading
Markets
BTTS52.7%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.576.0%
Over 2.553.1%
Over 3.530.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
9.4%
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.8%
3-1
5.7%
3-0
5.5%
0-0
5.1%
2-2
5.1%
0-2
3.3%
3-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).