Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.5%
Northampton
31.8%
Draw
30.7%
Exeter
Expected Goals (xG)
0.96
Northampton
vs
0.84
Exeter
Markets
BTTS34.5%
Over 0.584.0%
Over 1.553.1%
Over 2.526.9%
Over 3.510.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.5%
0-0
16.0%
0-1
14.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-0
7.7%
2-1
6.4%
0-2
5.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-0
2.5%
3-1
2.1%
0-3
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).